How it works
A practical overview of what this site contains, why certain companies are included, and how to interpret scenario-based valuation outputs.
What you’ll find on this site
Each company page is designed to be a single place to start when doing research:
- Company write-up (what they’re building, the core idea, and a concise thesis summary).
- Key sources (official links, filings, IR materials, and other high-signal references).
- Interactive valuation model (a scenario tool to explore outcomes under different assumptions).
- Practical UX tools like watchlist, shareable links, and lightweight where to buy links/votes.
Coverage depth varies by company and improves over time as new sources appear and the site expands.
Why these companies (and not others)?
The site focuses on companies where a scenario approach is genuinely useful: outcomes are wide, assumptions matter, and the upside/downside is driven by execution rather than small quarter-to-quarter noise.
- Large potential market and/or step-change product capability.
- Clear unit economics levers (scale, pricing, adoption, utilization, margins).
- Enough public information to build a transparent inputs → outputs model.
- Interesting long-horizon questions (3–10 years), not short-term trading signals.
- Inclusion is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
- Exclusion does not mean a company is bad.
- Coverage is incomplete and evolves over time.
If you think a company should be added or updated, use the feedback/suggest update option on company pages (or share a source link) it helps improve coverage quality.
How models work
There is no single one-size-fits-all model. Each company uses a model that matches how it actually makes money at scale the goal is to map the company’s unit economics to a transparent set of outcomes.
- Subscribers × ARPU (consumer/telecom-like businesses)
- Deployments × pricing (hardware/software rollouts, units in the field)
- Capacity × utilization × take-rate (platform / network / throughput businesses)
- GMV × take-rate (marketplaces)
- Convert scale → revenue at maturity (at scale).
- Convert revenue → profitability (margin assumption).
- Convert profitability → enterprise value (multiple).
- Convert EV → equity → price/share (net cash/debt & dilution).
This is intentionally simple and legible. You should be able to read the assumptions, understand the math, and decide whether the scenario is plausible without black box behavior.
How to interpret the outputs
- The output is an implied valuation under your assumptions not a prediction.
- Wide ranges usually mean assumption sensitivity (scale, margin, dilution), not model error.
- A good workflow is to compare scenarios: bear / base / bull and document why each is plausible.
What this is (and isn’t)
- A scenario tool to explore outcomes under different assumptions.
- A structured way to think through scale, margins, and dilution.
- A starting point for deeper research and source review.
- Financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
- A short-term price predictor.
- A substitute for independent due diligence.
FAQ
Is this financial advice?
Why don’t you explain every slider here?
How accurate are the valuation results?
Can you add a company / update sources?
Next steps
Want to try the model in practice? Explore companies or open an example page.